(cross-posted at dKos)
Public Policy Polling confirms what we already knew--North Carolina is in play presidentially. However, news from the Senate race here isn't quite as encouraging.
On the presidential side, McCain only leads Obama 45-41--just one point over the margin of error. Barr gets 5 percent. Note, this is a Democratic polling firm--but as with the last poll from NC, from a Republican polling firm, there's virtually no good news for McCain.
On the Senate side, however, Liddy Dole appears to be pulling away from Kay Hagan. She now leads 51 percent to 38 percent ... and the trends suggest Hagan's got some work to do.
On the presidential side, McCain still has a small lead due almost entirely to leads in the Triad (area code 336, 51-34) and Charlotte (area code 704, 47-35). However, nearly everything else points in Obama's favor. Obama leads among independents (43-31) and among people who weren't born in North Carolina (46-40). He also has strong leads among people who are concerned about Iraq (48-42), the economy (49-38) education (66-28) and health care (52-22). About the only good news for McCain is that Obama still hasn't brought the Dems home down here--Obama only has the support of 67 percent of Democrats, while McCain has the support of 83 percent of Republicans.
Dole's ad blitz must be making a difference, as she's leading in every region of the state and has brought home more Republicans than McCain. She's even in a flat-footed tie on the economy (45-45), Iraq (45-45) and education (36-35). In a strange note, Hagan only has the support of 52 percent of blacks--a demographic where she should be beating Dole like a rented mule.